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Outlook 2025

Now’s your time for wealth

Outlook 2025: Playing your Trump card

As Trump takes charge, we are bullish on US equities, Developed Market high yield bonds and gold.

Trump’s policies are likely to lead to another year of US equity and high yield bond outperformance. We also see an opportunity to switch from cash to USD bonds to lock in attractive yields. We hedge any inflation and geopolitical risks with gold.

We head into 2025 Overweight equities and gold and Underweight cash in Foundation portfolios. The US is likely to be in the driver’s seat, outperforming other major markets, as business and consumer confidence gets a boost following Trump’s election. Trump’s contentious policy agenda and China’s growth outlook are key risks.

Within equities, we are Overweight the US and Underweight the Euro area, with supportive US policy likely to maintain US outperformance. In Asia, we are Overweight Indian equities given still-robust growth outlook.

Within bonds, we are Overweight Developed Market High Yield bonds as the higher yield drives total returns. Emerging Market local currency bonds are most at risk from Trump’s tariff proposals, keeping us Underweight. We would also switch from cash to USD bonds to lock in attractive yields over the longer term.

Tactical opportunities: We see tactical opportunities in selective US, China and India equity sectors. Bond opportunistic ideas continue to look for pockets of value amid elevated valuations.

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This article is for general information only and it does not constitute an offer, recommendation or solicitation of an offer to enter into any transaction or adopt any hedging, trading or investment strategy, in relation to any securities or other financial instruments. This article has not been prepared for any particular person or class of persons and does not constitute and should not be construed as investment advice or an investment recommendation. It has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any person or class of persons. You should seek advice from a licensed or an exempt financial adviser on the suitability of a product for you, taking into account these factors before making a commitment to purchase any product or invest in an investment. In the event that you choose not to seek advice from a licensed or an exempt financial adviser, you should carefully consider whether the product or service described herein is suitable for you.

You are fully responsible for your investment decision, including whether the investment is suitable for you. The products/services involved are not principal-protected and you may lose all or part of your original investment amount.

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