This is to inform that by clicking on the hyperlink, you will be
leaving
sc.com/sg
and entering a website operated by other parties.
Such links are only provided on our website for the convenience of
the Client and Standard Chartered Bank does not control or endorse
such websites, and is not responsible for their contents.
The use of such website is also subject to the terms of use and
other terms and guidelines, if any, contained within each such
website. In the event that any of the terms contained herein
conflict with the terms of use or other terms and guidelines
contained within any such website, then the terms of use and other
terms and guidelines for such website shall prevail.
Wealth BuildingForex, Gold & Alternative InvestmentsInvestment Strategies
20 March 2025 I 4 mins read
China’s low-cost AI chatbot has the potential to drive corporate earnings higher in the coming year, helping deliver further upside to its technology sector equities
In understanding modern technology, it is always useful to distil hard-to-understand concepts into everyday, layman views. To understand the impact of China’s low-cost Artificial Intelligence (AI) chatbot, DeepSeek, which has taken the world by storm since it emerged in the public domain in late January as the main competitor to US rival ChatGPT, I would put the beneficiaries under the following banners: volume, speed and performance.
Surging usage
Let’s take volume first. The number of DeepSeek users in China has jumped much faster in the weeks since introduction compared with previous AI apps. In fact, DeepSeek has seen as much daily usage in the first two months since introduction as what the next most popular app has seen in 12 months. The surging use of such chatbots helps companies that are developing so-called Large Language Models (LLM) (AI programmes that can recognise and generate text, among other tasks) or providing so-called cloud services, such as data storage, back up and other computing and project management tools, to consumers and businesses. Also, surging volume helps telecommunication service providers because they get more revenue from selling internet data packages to large-scale data centres that offer their computing resources.
Benefits of speed
The second impact is through speed. One of the direct commercial applications of DeepSeek is helping automobile companies develop smart driving tools. DeepSeek’s so-called R1 model reinforces these companies’ learning tools, helping autonomous driving models to improve their mean time between failures(a measure of reliability of a system or component). Some experts estimate that, with the use of DeepSeek’s R1 model, training efficiency of such tools can be significantly enhanced, slashing training time by as much as 50%.
Improving performance
The final impact is through performance. DeepSeek, through the significant improvement in speed and the sheer increase in possibilities it can learn, can also enhance autonomous driving’s performance, especially when drivers face unexpected and unknown situations. Producers of AI-enabled personal computers and AI-enabled smartphones are also likely to benefit as customers need to replace their existing equipment to avail of the newly introduced AI-enabled functions.
Meanwhile, computer software providers are likely to benefit from increase in efficiency and dramatic cut down of error rates.
How much has been priced in?
China’s technology sector stocks have surged since the emergence of DeepSeek earlier this year amid optimism that the low-cost chatbot will structurally boost economic and earnings growth in the coming years. The equity market appears to have priced in a significant rise in upcoming earnings, judging from the sharp move higher in the Hang Seng Index, from below 19,000 when DeepSeek emerged in the public domain in late January to the current 23,500 level. However, the Hang Seng Index is still trading at 46% discount compared to global equities, or more than one standard deviation from its 10-year average.
Thus, while there could be a technical correction coming up for Chinese equities, potentially towards 21,600 for the Hang Seng Index, we would use any such dip as an opportunity to add exposure to the Hang Seng Technology Index, where we have been bullish since the end of October 2024.
(Daniel Lam is Head of Equity Strategy at Standard Chartered Bank’s Wealth Solutions Chief Investment Office)
Your feedback is valuable to us. Did you find this article helpful?
Disclaimer
This article is for general information only and it does not constitute an offer, recommendation or solicitation of an offer to enter into any transaction or adopt any hedging, trading or investment strategy, in relation to any securities or other financial instruments. This article has not been prepared for any particular person or class of persons and does not constitute and should not be construed as investment advice or an investment recommendation. It has been prepared without regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any person or class of persons. You should seek advice from a licensed or an exempt financial adviser on the suitability of a product for you, taking into account these factors before making a commitment to purchase any product or invest in an investment. In the event that you choose not to seek advice from a licensed or an exempt financial adviser, you should carefully consider whether the product or service described herein is suitable for you.
You are fully responsible for your investment decision, including whether the investment is suitable for you. The products/services involved are not principal-protected and you may lose all or part of your original investment amount.
Standard Chartered Bank (Singapore) Limited will not accept any responsibility or liability of any kind, with respect to the accuracy or completeness of information in this article.
Deposit Insurance Scheme
Singapore dollar deposits of non-bank depositors are insured by the Singapore Deposit Insurance Corporation, for up to S$100,000 in aggregate per depositor per Scheme member by law. For clarity, these investment products are not deposits and do not qualify as an insured deposit under the Singapore Deposit Insurance and Policy Owners’ Protection Schemes Act 2011. Foreign currency deposits, dual currency investments, structured deposits and other investment products are not insured.
The information stated in this article is accurate as at the date of publication