You're about to leave our website

This hyperlink will bring to you to another website on the Internet, which is published and operated by a third party which is not owned, controlled or affiliated with or in any way related to Standard Chartered Bank (Hong Kong) Limited or any member of Standard Chartered Group ( the "Bank").

The hyperlink is provided for your convenience and presented for information purposes only. The provision of the hyperlink does not constitute endorsement, recommendation, approval, warranty or representation, express or implied, by the Bank of any third party or the hypertext link, product, service or information contained or available therein.

The Bank does not have any control (editorial or otherwise) over the linked third party website and is not in any way responsible for the contents available therein. You use or follow this link at your own risk. To the extent permissible by law, the Bank shall not be responsible for any damage or losses incurred or suffered by you arising out of or in connection with your use of the link.

Please be mindful that when you click on the link and open a new window in your browser, you will be subject to the terms of use and privacy policies of the third party website that you are going to visit.


Proceed to third party website
Festival, Hanukkah Menorah, Weapon

Wealth Guru

Your one-stop-shop hub for all market updates you need to know

Market Insights brought to you by our CIO

Where will the financial markets head towards? Check out how our Chief Investment Office (CIO) sees it.

Video Poster
Video Poster

China unveils CNY 10tn local government debt swap

  • Policy details: A new 3-year CNY 6tn local government debt-swap program + Allocated CNY 4tn from the debt quota for ongoing local government special projects over 5 years for the swap.
  • Refinance local governments’ ‘hidden debt’: unlocking their ability to spend on growth-supportive projects
  • USD/CNH broke above 7.20: China government bond yields slumped and MSCI China equity index plummeted as markets were disappointed by the scale.
  • Neutral on China equities: While we maintain our base case for the Hang Seng Index at 20,000-22,500, we see downside risks should upcoming Q3 earnings reports also disappoint.
  • China’s finance minister hinted ‘more forceful’ fiscal spending measures may be unveiled in 2025.

For full insights, read our full Market Watch Report now.

China unveils CNY 10tn local government debt swap

China announced a CNY 10tn local government debt swap, which should unlock spending on growth projects. The plan fell short of market expectations, which may undermine China’s equity valuations and weaken the CNH in the near term.

 

11 Nov 2024

Video Poster

Trump victory, Fed’s neutral stance positive for US assets

  • Trump’s emphatic victory: He has the mandate to revive US growth through tax cuts, deregulation and protectionism, they are likely to be positive for US risk assets and the USD in the near term.
  • The Fed: After cutting rates by another 25bps, said the US elections will have “no effects” on its policy decisions in the near term, suggesting it remains on a rate cutting path for now.
  • Relative winners: Stocks vs. Bonds; US equities vs. non-US equities; USD; US small cap, value and cyclical equities vs. growth and defensive equities; and Aerospace and Defence.
  • Cabinet formation: Trump’s selection of his top team in the coming days is likely to provide an indication of his policy priorities.
  • China’s policy response: To stiff US tariffs proposed by Trump will also be a key factor for markets in the coming days. The Standing Committee of China’s National People’s Congress had meeting last week to discuss further stimulus measures.

Stay tuned to WealthSense series for more market insights by our CIO.

Trump victory, Fed’s neutral stance positive for US assets

China announced a CNY 10tn local government debt swap, which should unlock spending on growth projects. The plan fell short of market expectations, which may undermine China’s equity valuations and weaken the CNH in the near term. Trump’s emphatic victory and the Fed’s comments that the elections will have “no effects” on its policy decisions in the near term are especially positive for US assets, in our view.

 

13 Nov 2024

Video Poster
Video Poster

Trump on the brink of victory

  • Market Reaction: US stocks and the USD rose, while ex-US stocks and US government bonds fell.
  • Likely winners: A Republican ‘clean sweep’ will likely boost US equities near-term. A focus on potentially growth-supportive policies, such as an extension of prior cuts on individual income taxes and further corporate tax cuts, besides deregulation of the financial and energy sectors, could be positive for risk assets.
  • Higher yields in the near-term: US 10-year bond yield could test resistance at 4.71% on any break above 4.5% on concerns about Trump’s potentially inflationary policies and higher fiscal deficit.
  • Lock in attractive yields: We believe the US growth and inflation trajectory is key to the long-term path of US bond yields. We expect the Fed to cut rates further next year. Therefore, US government bond yields are still likely to move lower long-term. We would use current concerns as an opportunity to lock-in an attractive income.
  • EM assets, particularly China’s equities: Bore the brunt of Trump’s tariff threats. China’s more proactive policies to support domestic consumption should help offset to some effect.

For full insights, read our full Market Watch Report now.

Trump on the brink of victory

A Republican ‘clean sweep’ will likely boost US equities near-term. EM assets, particularly China’s equities bore the brunt of Trump’s tariff threats. China’s more proactive policies to support domestic consumption should help offset to some effect.

 

6 Nov 2024

Video Poster
Video Poster

Positioning for the US election

  • Locked in a tight race: We continue to believe elections can create opportunities amid short-term volatility, but our soft-landing macroeconomic view points to medium-term outperformance of risk assets.
  • Festive season for markets: The October-to-December period tends to be a seasonally positive period for equities and current trends suggest a potential repeat this year.
  • US equities set to benefit, regardless of outcome: Historically, US stocks have performed well during election years, posting positive returns in 12 of the last 13 election years through November and December.
  • Taking advantage of the yield rebound: The recent rebound in US government bond yields presents an opportunity to lock in an attractive income as major central banks continue to cut rates, lowering returns on cash.
  • Remain overweight gold: Strong geopolitical tailwinds remain intact.

For full insights, read our full Market Outlook Report now.

Positioning for the US election

As markets price in US election outcomes, we see an opportunity to lock in attractive bond yields and add to gold. While we remain overweight US equities, we also see tactical opportunities in US equity and bond markets, besides China and India.

 

4 Nov 2024

CIO Wealth Guru Series

Our CIO experts combine investment fun facts and market views, bring upon a series of professional yet lively short articles. Read now and become a Wealth Guru as well!

Strong Dollar Hits One-Year High

Trump’s pro-growth “America first” plan intuitively implies US assets and the Dollar outperforming non-US assets. Keep an eye on potential technical rebound for the EUR, GBP and AUD. Meanwhile, why are USD, JPY and CHF widely regarded as safe-haven currencies?

3 tactics to capitalise on rate cut early opportunities

When the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield reaches 4%, it's a good opportunity to average into it. History suggests that entering the bond market early during a rate cut period achieves higher return. Elevate your income potential now!

Cash is no longer king?

As countries gradually cut interest rates, earning interest on cash is becoming less favourable. Discover how to boost your passive income in today’s low interest market.

Tips to earn HKD50,000 passive income

Achieve financial freedom by exploring sustainable dividend-paying investments and building passive income to live the life you envision.

News Updates

Get yourself up-to-date on what’s happening now.

Disclaimers

Important Note of Investment Products

Premium deposit, Equity Linked Investments and structured notes are structured products involving derivatives. Investment Fund is an investment product and some Investment Funds would involve derivatives. The investment decision is yours but you should not invest in that investment product unless the intermediary who sells it to you has explained to you that the product is suitable for you having regard to your financial situation, investment experience and investment objectives.

Risk Disclosure Statement

  • Investment involves risks. The prices of investment products fluctuate, sometimes dramatically and the worst case may result in loss of your entire investment amount. Past performance is no guide to its future performance.
  • Investors should read the terms and conditions contained in the relevant offering documents and in particular the investment policies and the risk factors and latest financial results information carefully and are advised to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision.
  • Investors should consider their own investment objectives, investment experience, financial situation and risk tolerance level.

Foreign Exchange:

  • Foreign exchange involves risks. Fluctuation in the exchange rate of a foreign currency may result in gains or significant losses in the event that the customer converts deposit from the foreign currency to another currency (including Hong Kong Dollar).

RMB Deposit Service:

  • Renminbi (“”RMB””) exchange rate, like any other currency, is affected by a wide range of factors and is subject to fluctuations. Such fluctuations may result in gains and losses in the event that the customer subsequently converts RMB to another currency (including Hong Kong dollars); and
  • RMB is currently not freely convertible and conversion of RMB through banks in Hong Kong is subject to restrictions specified by the Bank and regulatory requirements applicable from time to time. The actual conversion arrangement will depend on the restrictions prevailing at the relevant time.

Disclaimer and Important Notes of Insurance

  • This webpage is intended to be valid in Hong Kong only and shall not be construed as an offer to sell or solicitation to buy or provision of any insurance product outside Hong Kong. Prudential and Standard Chartered do not offer or sell any insurance product in any jurisdictions outside Hong Kong in which such offering or sale of the insurance product is illegal under the laws of such jurisdictions. This webpage does not constitute a contract of insurance or an offer, invitations or recommendation to any person to enter into any contract of insurance or any transaction described therein or any similar transaction.
  • The material and information contained on this webpage should be read in conjunction with the relevant product brochure and for the risk disclosure, please refer to the product brochure.

Notes

  • This webpage does not constitute any prediction of likely future price movements.
  • Investors should not make investment decisions based on this webpage alone.
  • This webpage has not been reviewed by the Securities and Futures Commission or any regulatory authority in Hong Kong.

To borrow or not to borrow? Borrow only if you can repay!